BTC liquidation heatmap · Liquidation cascades · BTC-2026-10-02-0416

BTC liquidation cascade, 2 Oct 2026, 04:16 UTC

At least $44.6M of BTC positions were liquidated on Binance, Bybit and OKX in 9 minutes, from 04:16 to 04:25 UTC. 0.1% of it was long positions.

Liquidated

$44.6M

99.9% shorts · $39K longs · $44.6M shorts

Duration

9 min

04:16–04:25 UTC

Largest single liquidation

$11.8M

short · Binance · 86,908.3 · 04:20:51 UTC

By exchange

3 venues

Binance $33.6M · Bybit $7.47M · OKX $3.54M

Totals are what the exchanges' feeds printed, so they are a floor: Binance sends at most one liquidation per symbol per second, and OKX publishes a sample. Price (1-minute candles): 85,511.9 → 86,365.9 (low 85,497.7, high 86,476.9). Liquidation orders: 550.Recordedan hour after the event · not edited after

BTC liquidation heatmap for the 24 hours around the cascade of 2 Oct 2026, 04:16 UTC, the cascade shaded

The BTC liquidation heatmap around the cascade, its minutes shaded: expected levels in violet, liquidations that printed in orange (longs) and blue (shorts).

What the model expected at these levels

$53.7M printed near the levels the cascade crossed$862M expected

The liquidation model (liqmap_model_v1, 25–100x) held $862M at the price levels the cascade crossed. $53.7M printed near them, 6% of what it expected. 25 of the 25 crossings had liquidations printed near them. How the model and this score work

Source

MarketTrace's own liquidation tape from the Binance, Bybit and OKX feeds. An event is drawn from it once it has been over for an hour and is not edited after.

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